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H. Grenier vs V. Ursu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. GrenierV. Ursu
64.9 %35.1 %
Model favourite
H. Grenier
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · H. Grenier

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQualifyinghard court12:10
H. Grenier
H. Grenier
vs
V. Ursu
V. Ursu
1857
Elo
1723
1832
Elo on hard court
1750
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Grenier
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
V. Ursu
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
9-17 (35%)
2026 record
6-12 (33%)
132-109 (55%)
Record on hard court
26-42 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Grenier and V. Ursu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Grenier comes in with an Elo of 1857, against 1723 for V. Ursu: a 134-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 82 points in favour of H. Grenier. H. Grenier won 4 of the last ten matches, V. Ursu won 4. H. Grenier has 2 wins in the last five matches. V. Ursu has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave H. Grenier the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Grenier won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Grenier's last five matches

V. Ursu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Grenier beat C. Langmo (6-2 6-4). To reach this round, V. Ursu beat G. A. Boitan (3-6 7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Grenier wins 49 % (67 of 138), V. Ursu 53 % (9 of 17). In deciding sets, H. Grenier wins 54 % of the time (124 matches), V. Ursu 54 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, H. Grenier turned 24 % of matches around (177 occasions), V. Ursu 16 % (55 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Grenier went on to win 81 % of matches, V. Ursu 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Grenier – V. Ursu

Who is the favourite between H. Grenier and V. Ursu?
The match is over: H. Grenier won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had H. Grenier winning at 65 %.
When is the H. Grenier – V. Ursu match?
On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 12:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Grenier and V. Ursu?
No meeting between H. Grenier and V. Ursu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Grenier – V. Ursu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 21 September 2026

All matches on 21 September 2026