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H. Mayot vs J. Boulais prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. MayotJ. Boulais
77.9 %22.1 %
Model favourite
H. Mayot
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · H. Mayot

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court16:00
H. Mayot
H. Mayot
vs
J. Boulais
J. Boulais
2002
Elo
1725
1998
Elo on hard court
1705
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
7
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.21
Odds
3.95

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Mayot
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
J. Boulais
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
3 – 7
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
8 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
19-15 (56%)
2026 record
20-17 (54%)
96-78 (55%)
Record on hard court
43-49 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Mayot and J. Boulais, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Mayot comes in with an Elo of 2002, against 1725 for J. Boulais: a 277-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 293 points in favour of H. Mayot. H. Mayot won 7 of the last ten matches, J. Boulais won 3. H. Mayot has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Boulais has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Mayot the favourite.

The model gave H. Mayot the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Mayot won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Mayot's last five matches

J. Boulais's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is H. Mayot's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Mayot wins 43 % (39 of 91), J. Boulais 46 % (13 of 28). In deciding sets, H. Mayot wins 50 % of the time (82 matches), J. Boulais 37 % (19 matches). After losing the first set, H. Mayot turned 14 % of matches around (134 occasions), J. Boulais 13 % (48 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Mayot went on to win 89 % of matches, J. Boulais 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Mayot – J. Boulais

Who is the favourite between H. Mayot and J. Boulais?
The match is over: H. Mayot won 2-1. Bookmakers make H. Mayot the favourite, priced at 1.21 against 3.95 for J. Boulais. Pronocast's model had H. Mayot winning at 78 %.
When is the H. Mayot – J. Boulais match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 16:00, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Mayot and J. Boulais?
No meeting between H. Mayot and J. Boulais appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Mayot – J. Boulais?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026