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I. Montes-De La Torre vs J. Fearnley prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
I. Montes-De La TorreJ. Fearnley
22.6 %77.4 %
Model favourite
J. Fearnley
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-0 · I. Montes-De La Torre

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 16hard court14:05
I. Montes-De La Torre
I. Montes-De La Torre
vs
J. Fearnley
J. Fearnley
1941
Elo
2140
1898
Elo on hard court
2011
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
6
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

I. Montes-De La Torre
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
J. Fearnley
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
16 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
26-14 (65%)
2026 record
30-22 (58%)
46-27 (63%)
Record on hard court
63-37 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by I. Montes-De La Torre and J. Fearnley, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Fearnley comes in with an Elo of 2140, against 1941 for I. Montes-De La Torre: a 199-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 113 points in favour of J. Fearnley. I. Montes-De La Torre won 7 of the last ten matches, J. Fearnley won 6. I. Montes-De La Torre has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Fearnley has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. Fearnley the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Montes-De La Torre won 1-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

I. Montes-De La Torre's last five matches

J. Fearnley's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, I. Montes-De La Torre beat L. Potenza (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, J. Fearnley beat A. Sanchez Quilez (6-1 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, I. Montes-De La Torre wins 67 % (18 of 27), J. Fearnley 51 % (33 of 65). In deciding sets, I. Montes-De La Torre wins 54 % of the time (37 matches), J. Fearnley 71 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, I. Montes-De La Torre turned 23 % of matches around (52 occasions), J. Fearnley 32 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, I. Montes-De La Torre went on to win 90 % of matches, J. Fearnley 96 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about I. Montes-De La Torre – J. Fearnley

Who is the favourite between I. Montes-De La Torre and J. Fearnley?
The match is over: I. Montes-De La Torre won 1-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. Fearnley winning at 77 %.
When is the I. Montes-De La Torre – J. Fearnley match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 14:05, at the Porto tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between I. Montes-De La Torre and J. Fearnley?
No meeting between I. Montes-De La Torre and J. Fearnley appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for I. Montes-De La Torre – J. Fearnley?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026