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J. J. Schwaerzler vs H. Wendelken prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. J. SchwaerzlerH. Wendelken
44.7 %55.3 %
Model favourite
H. Wendelken
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · J. J. Schwaerzler

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 16hard court11:10
J. J. Schwaerzler
J. J. Schwaerzler
vs
H. Wendelken
H. Wendelken
1903
Elo
1960
1795
Elo on hard court
1954
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.16
Odds
1.70

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. J. Schwaerzler
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
H. Wendelken
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
30-25 (55%)
2026 record
27-20 (57%)
13-14 (48%)
Record on hard court
45-26 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. J. Schwaerzler and H. Wendelken, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Wendelken comes in with an Elo of 1960, against 1903 for J. J. Schwaerzler: a 57-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 158 points in favour of H. Wendelken. J. J. Schwaerzler won 5 of the last ten matches, H. Wendelken won 7. J. J. Schwaerzler has 2 wins in the last five matches. H. Wendelken has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Wendelken the favourite.

The model gave H. Wendelken the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. J. Schwaerzler won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. J. Schwaerzler's last five matches

H. Wendelken's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. J. Schwaerzler beat A. Barroso Campos (6-3 7-5). To reach this round, H. Wendelken beat F. Romano (6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. J. Schwaerzler wins 60 % (31 of 52), H. Wendelken 53 % (16 of 30). In deciding sets, J. J. Schwaerzler wins 59 % of the time (46 matches), H. Wendelken 55 % (38 matches). After losing the first set, J. J. Schwaerzler turned 19 % of matches around (69 occasions), H. Wendelken 23 % (43 occasions). After winning the first set, J. J. Schwaerzler went on to win 84 % of matches, H. Wendelken 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. J. Schwaerzler – H. Wendelken

Who is the favourite between J. J. Schwaerzler and H. Wendelken?
The match is over: J. J. Schwaerzler won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Wendelken the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 2.16 for J. J. Schwaerzler. Pronocast's model had H. Wendelken winning at 55 %.
When is the J. J. Schwaerzler – H. Wendelken match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. J. Schwaerzler and H. Wendelken?
No meeting between J. J. Schwaerzler and H. Wendelken appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. J. Schwaerzler – H. Wendelken?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026