J. Lehecka vs D. Vallejo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. LeheckaD. Vallejo
72.0 %28.0 %
Model favourite
J. Lehecka
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · J. Lehecka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQuarter-finalhard court11:50
J. Lehecka
J. Lehecka
vs
D. Vallejo
D. Vallejo
2350
Elo
2171
2210
Elo on hard court
2003
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.30
Odds
3.04

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Lehecka
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. Vallejo
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
18 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
4 wins
Current streak
4 wins
32-16 (67%)
2026 record
44-21 (68%)
113-76 (60%)
Record on hard court
16-19 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Lehecka and D. Vallejo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Lehecka comes in with an Elo of 2350, against 2171 for D. Vallejo: a 179-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 207 points in favour of J. Lehecka. J. Lehecka won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Vallejo won 6. J. Lehecka has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Vallejo has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite.

The model gave J. Lehecka the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Lehecka won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Lehecka's last five matches

D. Vallejo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Lehecka beat Z. Bergs (6-3 6-7 6-3), then U. Humbert (5-7 6-4 6-4). To reach this round, D. Vallejo beat T. Daniel (6-3 6-2), then J. Faria (6-4 5-7 7-5), then R. Jodar (6-1 6-3), then M. Berrettini (7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Lehecka wins 54 % (76 of 140), D. Vallejo 35 % (17 of 49). In deciding sets, J. Lehecka wins 60 % of the time (95 matches), D. Vallejo 56 % (62 matches). After losing the first set, J. Lehecka turned 24 % of matches around (131 occasions), D. Vallejo 21 % (86 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Lehecka went on to win 87 % of matches, D. Vallejo 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Lehecka – D. Vallejo

Who is the favourite between J. Lehecka and D. Vallejo?
The match is over: J. Lehecka won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.04 for D. Vallejo. Pronocast's model had J. Lehecka winning at 72 %.
When is the J. Lehecka – D. Vallejo match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 11:50, at the Tokyo tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Lehecka and D. Vallejo?
No meeting between J. Lehecka and D. Vallejo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Lehecka – D. Vallejo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026