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J. Lehecka vs V. Vacherot prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. LeheckaV. Vacherot
62.9 %37.1 %
Model favourite
J. Lehecka
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · J. Lehecka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoSemi-finalhard court12:20
J. Lehecka
J. Lehecka
vs
V. Vacherot
V. Vacherot
2361
Elo
2260
2222
Elo on hard court
2142
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.52
Odds
2.51

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Lehecka
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
V. Vacherot
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
20 – 9
Sets won – lost
16 – 11
5 wins
Current streak
3 wins
33-16 (67%)
2026 record
23-15 (61%)
114-76 (60%)
Record on hard court
66-36 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Lehecka and V. Vacherot, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Lehecka comes in with an Elo of 2361, against 2260 for V. Vacherot: a 101-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 80 points in favour of J. Lehecka. J. Lehecka won 8 of the last ten matches, V. Vacherot won 7. J. Lehecka has 5 wins in the last five matches. V. Vacherot has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, V. Vacherot leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite.

The model gave J. Lehecka the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Lehecka won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Lehecka's last five matches

V. Vacherot's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

V. Vacherot leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Lehecka beat Z. Bergs (6-3 6-7 6-3), then U. Humbert (5-7 6-4 6-4), then D. Vallejo (6-1 6-1). To reach this round, V. Vacherot beat A. Blockx (7-6 7-6), then S. Tsitsipas (4-6 7-6 6-4), then A. Fils (7-5 4-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Lehecka wins 54 % (76 of 140), V. Vacherot 54 % (59 of 109). In deciding sets, J. Lehecka wins 60 % of the time (95 matches), V. Vacherot 60 % (88 matches). After losing the first set, J. Lehecka turned 24 % of matches around (131 occasions), V. Vacherot 34 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Lehecka went on to win 87 % of matches, V. Vacherot 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Lehecka – V. Vacherot

Who is the favourite between J. Lehecka and V. Vacherot?
The match is over: J. Lehecka won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite, priced at 1.52 against 2.51 for V. Vacherot. Pronocast's model had J. Lehecka winning at 63 %.
When is the J. Lehecka – V. Vacherot match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 12:20, at the Tokyo tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Lehecka and V. Vacherot?
Since 2020, V. Vacherot leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Lehecka – V. Vacherot?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026