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J. Pereira vs M. Alves prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. PereiraM. Alves
23.0 %77.0 %
Model favourite
M. Alves
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Alves

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 32clay18:20
J. Pereira
J. Pereira
vs
M. Alves
M. Alves
1596
Elo
1848
1590
Elo on clay
1829
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
10 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Pereira
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Alves
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
2 – 8
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
9 – 16
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
6-6 (50%)
2026 record
4-9 (31%)
53-55 (49%)
Record on clay
84-78 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Pereira and M. Alves, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Alves comes in with an Elo of 1848, against 1596 for J. Pereira: a 252-point edge. On clay, the gap is 239 points in favour of M. Alves. J. Pereira won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Alves won 10. J. Pereira has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Alves has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Alves the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Alves won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Pereira's last five matches

M. Alves's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Pereira beat R. Tosetto (6-4 3-6 6-3), then R. Dickerson (6-7 7-5 6-1). This is M. Alves's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Pereira wins 29 % (5 of 17), M. Alves 48 % (35 of 73). In deciding sets, J. Pereira wins 36 % of the time (28 matches), M. Alves 38 % (63 matches). After losing the first set, J. Pereira turned 11 % of matches around (53 occasions), M. Alves 13 % (86 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Pereira went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Alves 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Pereira – M. Alves

Who is the favourite between J. Pereira and M. Alves?
The match is over: M. Alves won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Alves winning at 77 %.
When is the J. Pereira – M. Alves match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 18:20, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between J. Pereira and M. Alves?
No meeting between J. Pereira and M. Alves appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Pereira – M. Alves?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026