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K. Rakhimova vs L. Fernandez prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
K. RakhimovaL. Fernandez
24.7 %75.3 %
Model favourite
L. Fernandez
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · K. Rakhimova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court09:30
K. Rakhimova
K. Rakhimova
vs
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez
2105
Elo
2259
2042
Elo on hard court
2204
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.75
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Rakhimova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
L. Fernandez
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
1 win
Current streak
5 wins
21-26 (45%)
2026 record
22-23 (49%)
89-98 (48%)
Record on hard court
112-76 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Rakhimova and L. Fernandez, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Fernandez comes in with an Elo of 2259, against 2105 for K. Rakhimova: a 154-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 162 points in favour of L. Fernandez. K. Rakhimova won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Fernandez won 7. K. Rakhimova has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Fernandez has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Fernandez leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make L. Fernandez the favourite.

The model gave L. Fernandez the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Rakhimova won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

K. Rakhimova's last five matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Fernandez leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Rakhimova beat M. Bassols (6-4 7-6). This is L. Fernandez's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Rakhimova wins 46 % (38 of 82), L. Fernandez 50 % (39 of 78). In deciding sets, K. Rakhimova wins 48 % of the time (109 matches), L. Fernandez 52 % (88 matches). After losing the first set, K. Rakhimova turned 16 % of matches around (157 occasions), L. Fernandez 18 % (125 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Rakhimova went on to win 81 % of matches, L. Fernandez 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Rakhimova – L. Fernandez

Who is the favourite between K. Rakhimova and L. Fernandez?
The match is over: K. Rakhimova won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Fernandez the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.75 for K. Rakhimova. Pronocast's model had L. Fernandez winning at 75 %.
When is the K. Rakhimova – L. Fernandez match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 09:30, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Rakhimova and L. Fernandez?
Since 2020, L. Fernandez leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Rakhimova – L. Fernandez?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026