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K. Siniakova vs E. Svitolina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
K. SiniakovaE. Svitolina
24.1 %75.9 %
Model favourite
E. Svitolina
Probability
76 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · E. Svitolina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court08:25
K. Siniakova
K. Siniakova
vs
E. Svitolina
E. Svitolina
2244
Elo
2424
2152
Elo on hard court
2335
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.90
Odds
1.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Siniakova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Svitolina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
18-15 (55%)
2026 record
42-15 (74%)
86-68 (56%)
Record on hard court
81-45 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Siniakova and E. Svitolina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Svitolina comes in with an Elo of 2424, against 2244 for K. Siniakova: a 180-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 182 points in favour of E. Svitolina. K. Siniakova won 5 of the last ten matches, E. Svitolina won 6. K. Siniakova has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Svitolina has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Svitolina leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite.

The model gave E. Svitolina the win at 76 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Svitolina won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

K. Siniakova's last five matches

E. Svitolina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Svitolina leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Siniakova beat M. Linette (6-4 6-3). This is E. Svitolina's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Siniakova wins 52 % (29 of 56), E. Svitolina 54 % (37 of 69). In deciding sets, K. Siniakova wins 43 % of the time (80 matches), E. Svitolina 60 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, K. Siniakova turned 18 % of matches around (101 occasions), E. Svitolina 35 % (89 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Siniakova went on to win 86 % of matches, E. Svitolina 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Siniakova – E. Svitolina

Who is the favourite between K. Siniakova and E. Svitolina?
The match is over: E. Svitolina won 2-1. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite, priced at 1.26 against 3.90 for K. Siniakova. Pronocast's model had E. Svitolina winning at 76 %.
When is the K. Siniakova – E. Svitolina match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 08:25, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Siniakova and E. Svitolina?
Since 2020, E. Svitolina leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Siniakova – E. Svitolina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026