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K. Uchida vs R. Noguchi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
K. UchidaR. Noguchi
23.9 %76.1 %
Model favourite
R. Noguchi
Probability
76 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · R. Noguchi

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 32hard court14:35
K. Uchida
K. Uchida
vs
R. Noguchi
R. Noguchi
1629
Elo
1886
1646
Elo on hard court
1870
0 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
4.05
Odds
1.19

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Uchida
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
R. Noguchi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
0 – 10
Wins – losses
5 – 5
1 – 20
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
13 losses
Current streak
1 loss
5-21 (19%)
2026 record
28-20 (58%)
69-110 (39%)
Record on hard court
111-96 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Uchida and R. Noguchi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Noguchi comes in with an Elo of 1886, against 1629 for K. Uchida: a 256-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 223 points in favour of R. Noguchi. K. Uchida won 0 of the last ten matches, R. Noguchi won 5. K. Uchida has no win in the last five matches. R. Noguchi has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, R. Noguchi leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make R. Noguchi the favourite.

The model gave R. Noguchi the win at 76 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Noguchi won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

K. Uchida's last five matches

R. Noguchi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

R. Noguchi leads 3 to 2

Road through the tournament

This is K. Uchida's first match of the tournament. This is R. Noguchi's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Uchida wins 54 % (50 of 93), R. Noguchi 47 % (33 of 70). In deciding sets, K. Uchida wins 41 % of the time (81 matches), R. Noguchi 60 % (72 matches). After losing the first set, K. Uchida turned 12 % of matches around (138 occasions), R. Noguchi 23 % (136 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Uchida went on to win 78 % of matches, R. Noguchi 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Uchida – R. Noguchi

Who is the favourite between K. Uchida and R. Noguchi?
The match is over: R. Noguchi won 2-1. Bookmakers make R. Noguchi the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.05 for K. Uchida. Pronocast's model had R. Noguchi winning at 76 %.
When is the K. Uchida – R. Noguchi match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 14:35, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Uchida and R. Noguchi?
Since 2020, R. Noguchi leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Uchida – R. Noguchi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026