L. J. Rodriguez vs W. Leite prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. J. RodriguezW. Leite
79.4 %20.6 %
Model favourite
L. J. Rodriguez
Probability
79 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · L. J. Rodriguez

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaQualifyingclay15:10
vs
W. Leite
W. Leite
1730
Elo
1587
1730
Elo on clay
1559
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.14
Odds
4.12

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. J. Rodriguez
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
W. Leite
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
8-11 (42%)
2026 record
11-10 (52%)
29-36 (45%)
Record on clay
59-80 (42%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. J. Rodriguez and W. Leite, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. J. Rodriguez comes in with an Elo of 1730, against 1587 for W. Leite: a 143-point edge. On clay, the gap is 171 points in favour of L. J. Rodriguez. L. J. Rodriguez won 5 of the last ten matches, W. Leite won 6. L. J. Rodriguez has 2 wins in the last five matches. W. Leite has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. J. Rodriguez the favourite.

The model gave L. J. Rodriguez the win at 79 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. J. Rodriguez won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. J. Rodriguez's last five matches

W. Leite's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. J. Rodriguez beat B. Milani (6-0 6-2). To reach this round, W. Leite beat J. Roberts (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. J. Rodriguez wins 30 % (7 of 23), W. Leite 41 % (14 of 34). In deciding sets, L. J. Rodriguez wins 28 % of the time (18 matches), W. Leite 46 % (37 matches). After losing the first set, L. J. Rodriguez turned 3 % of matches around (35 occasions), W. Leite 7 % (89 occasions). After winning the first set, L. J. Rodriguez went on to win 90 % of matches, W. Leite 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. J. Rodriguez – W. Leite

Who is the favourite between L. J. Rodriguez and W. Leite?
The match is over: L. J. Rodriguez won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. J. Rodriguez the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 4.12 for W. Leite. Pronocast's model had L. J. Rodriguez winning at 79 %.
When is the L. J. Rodriguez – W. Leite match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Curitiba tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. J. Rodriguez and W. Leite?
No meeting between L. J. Rodriguez and W. Leite appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. J. Rodriguez – W. Leite?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026