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M. Bulgaru vs M. Ristic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BulgaruM. Ristic
25.4 %74.6 %
Model favourite
M. Ristic
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Ristic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaRound of 16clay13:35
M. Bulgaru
M. Bulgaru
vs
M. Ristic
M. Ristic
1773
Elo
2006
1778
Elo on clay
1998
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
3.48
Odds
1.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bulgaru
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Ristic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 15
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
6-11 (35%)
2026 record
19-14 (58%)
40-49 (45%)
Record on clay
22-18 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bulgaru and M. Ristic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Ristic comes in with an Elo of 2006, against 1773 for M. Bulgaru: a 233-point edge. On clay, the gap is 220 points in favour of M. Ristic. M. Bulgaru won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Ristic won 8. M. Bulgaru has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Ristic has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to M. Bulgaru. Bookmakers make M. Ristic the favourite.

The model gave M. Ristic the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Ristic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Bulgaru's last five matches

M. Ristic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Bulgaru beat L. Gjorcheska (6-4 1-6 6-2). To reach this round, M. Ristic beat M. Colmegna (7-5 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bulgaru wins 58 % (11 of 19), M. Ristic 53 % (10 of 19). In deciding sets, M. Bulgaru wins 50 % of the time (36 matches), M. Ristic 53 % (17 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bulgaru turned 14 % of matches around (63 occasions), M. Ristic 22 % (23 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bulgaru went on to win 77 % of matches, M. Ristic 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bulgaru – M. Ristic

Who is the favourite between M. Bulgaru and M. Ristic?
The match is over: M. Ristic won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Ristic the favourite, priced at 1.26 against 3.48 for M. Bulgaru. Pronocast's model had M. Ristic winning at 75 %.
When is the M. Bulgaru – M. Ristic match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 13:35, at the Ljubljana tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bulgaru and M. Ristic?
No meeting between M. Bulgaru and M. Ristic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bulgaru – M. Ristic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026