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M. Cassone vs C. Tabur prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. CassoneC. Tabur
50.2 %49.8 %
Model favourite
M. Cassone
Probability
50 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Cassone

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court12:25
M. Cassone
M. Cassone
vs
C. Tabur
C. Tabur
1947
Elo
1960
1916
Elo on hard court
1951
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.91
Odds
1.87

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Cassone
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
C. Tabur
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 14
3 wins
Current streak
4 losses
18-17 (51%)
2026 record
28-23 (55%)
75-55 (58%)
Record on hard court
36-34 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Cassone and C. Tabur, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1947 against 1960): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 35 points in favour of C. Tabur. M. Cassone won 6 of the last ten matches, C. Tabur won 4. M. Cassone has 4 wins in the last five matches. C. Tabur has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make C. Tabur the favourite.

The model gave M. Cassone the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Cassone won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Cassone's last five matches

C. Tabur's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Cassone beat H. Car (6-4 6-0), then P. Zahraj (6-2 7-5). This is C. Tabur's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Cassone wins 56 % (38 of 68), C. Tabur 52 % (44 of 84). In deciding sets, M. Cassone wins 48 % of the time (56 matches), C. Tabur 48 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, M. Cassone turned 17 % of matches around (69 occasions), C. Tabur 20 % (106 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Cassone went on to win 87 % of matches, C. Tabur 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Cassone – C. Tabur

Who is the favourite between M. Cassone and C. Tabur?
The match is over: M. Cassone won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: M. Cassone is priced at 1.91, C. Tabur at 1.87. Pronocast's model had M. Cassone winning at 50 %.
When is the M. Cassone – C. Tabur match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 12:25, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Cassone and C. Tabur?
No meeting between M. Cassone and C. Tabur appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Cassone – C. Tabur?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026