M. Cassone vs P. Zahraj prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. CassoneP. Zahraj
75.9 %24.1 %
Model favourite
M. Cassone
Probability
76 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Cassone

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQualifyinghard court14:00
M. Cassone
M. Cassone
vs
P. Zahraj
P. Zahraj
1938
Elo
1706
1908
Elo on hard court
1638
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Cassone
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
P. Zahraj
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
2 – 8
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
7 – 17
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
17-17 (50%)
2026 record
9-20 (31%)
74-55 (57%)
Record on hard court
39-35 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Cassone and P. Zahraj, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Cassone comes in with an Elo of 1938, against 1706 for P. Zahraj: a 232-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 271 points in favour of M. Cassone. M. Cassone won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Zahraj won 5. M. Cassone has 4 wins in the last five matches. P. Zahraj has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Cassone leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Cassone the win at 76 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Cassone won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Cassone's last five matches

P. Zahraj's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Cassone leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Cassone beat H. Car (6-4 6-0). To reach this round, P. Zahraj beat M. Erhard (4-6 7-5 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Cassone wins 56 % (38 of 68), P. Zahraj 57 % (23 of 40). In deciding sets, M. Cassone wins 48 % of the time (56 matches), P. Zahraj 46 % (28 matches). After losing the first set, M. Cassone turned 17 % of matches around (69 occasions), P. Zahraj 12 % (60 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Cassone went on to win 87 % of matches, P. Zahraj 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Cassone – P. Zahraj

Who is the favourite between M. Cassone and P. Zahraj?
The match is over: M. Cassone won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Cassone winning at 76 %.
When is the M. Cassone – P. Zahraj match?
On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 14:00, at the St. Tropez tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Cassone and P. Zahraj?
Since 2020, M. Cassone leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Cassone – P. Zahraj?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 21 September 2026

All matches on 21 September 2026