M. Domenc vs D. Jade prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

M. DomencD. Jade

38.8 %61.2 %

Model favourite: D. Jade
Probability: 61 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · D. Jade

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQualifyinghard court10:10

M. Domenc

D. Jade

1676
Elo: 1841; 1698
Elo on hard court: 1512; 7 / 10
Form (last 10): 9 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 1; –
Head-to-head: Edge; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Domenc

D. Jade

1 – 0
Wins – losses: 3 – 7; 2 – 0
Sets won – lost: 8 – 16; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 1-0 (100%)
2026 record: 3-6 (33%); 1-0 (100%)
Record on hard court: 1-3 (25%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Domenc and D. Jade, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Jade comes in with an Elo of 1841, against 1676 for M. Domenc: a 165-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 186 points in favour of M. Domenc. M. Domenc won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Jade won 9. D. Jade has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to D. Jade. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave D. Jade the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Jade won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Domenc's last five matches

VM. RibecaiSt. Tropez 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-4 6-3

D. Jade's last five matches

VR. PenistonSt. Tropez 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-7 6-2 6-2
DR. PerotRoyan 2026 · Round of 16 · 17 June 20261-6 0-6
VM. ZhuRoyan 2026 · Round of 32 · 16 June 20264-6 6-2 6-3
DA. HolmgrenFrench Open 2026 · Qualifying · 20 May 20263-6 3-6
VD. EvansFrench Open 2026 · Qualifying · 18 May 20266-4 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Domenc beat M. Ribecai (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, D. Jade beat R. Peniston (6-7 6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about M. Domenc – D. Jade

Who is the favourite between M. Domenc and D. Jade?: The match is over: D. Jade won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had D. Jade winning at 61 %.
When is the M. Domenc – D. Jade match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 10:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Domenc and D. Jade?: No meeting between M. Domenc and D. Jade appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Domenc – D. Jade?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions