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M. Echargui vs D. Masur prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. EcharguiD. Masur
53.5 %46.5 %
Model favourite
M. Echargui
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · D. Masur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court13:35
M. Echargui
M. Echargui
vs
D. Masur
D. Masur
1871
Elo
1841
1853
Elo on hard court
1809
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
9
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.75
Odds
2.05

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Echargui
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. Masur
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
16-30 (35%)
2026 record
21-15 (58%)
43-46 (48%)
Record on hard court
78-70 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Echargui and D. Masur, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Echargui comes in with an Elo of 1871, against 1841 for D. Masur: a 30-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 44 points in favour of M. Echargui. M. Echargui won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Masur won 7. M. Echargui has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Masur has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Echargui the favourite.

The model gave M. Echargui the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Masur won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Echargui's last five matches

D. Masur's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Echargui beat L. Potenza (6-7 6-4 6-3), then K. Poling (6-4 7-6). To reach this round, D. Masur beat L. Rossi (6-2 3-6 6-4), then M. Janvier (6-2 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4). M. Echargui is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Echargui wins 51 % (40 of 78), D. Masur 49 % (57 of 117). In deciding sets, M. Echargui wins 41 % of the time (80 matches), D. Masur 52 % (88 matches). After losing the first set, M. Echargui turned 15 % of matches around (101 occasions), D. Masur 21 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Echargui went on to win 77 % of matches, D. Masur 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Echargui – D. Masur

Who is the favourite between M. Echargui and D. Masur?
The match is over: D. Masur won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Echargui the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 2.05 for D. Masur. Pronocast's model had M. Echargui winning at 53 %.
When is the M. Echargui – D. Masur match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 13:35, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Echargui and D. Masur?
No meeting between M. Echargui and D. Masur appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Echargui – D. Masur?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026