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M. Martineau vs J. Boulais prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. MartineauJ. Boulais
55.8 %44.2 %
Model favourite
M. Martineau
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Martineau

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQualifyinghard court10:10
M. Martineau
M. Martineau
vs
J. Boulais
J. Boulais
1798
Elo
1746
1831
Elo on hard court
1722
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Martineau
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
J. Boulais
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
8 – 15
1 win
Current streak
1 win
22-26 (46%)
2026 record
20-16 (56%)
78-77 (50%)
Record on hard court
43-48 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Martineau and J. Boulais, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Martineau comes in with an Elo of 1798, against 1746 for J. Boulais: a 52-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 109 points in favour of M. Martineau. M. Martineau won 4 of the last ten matches, J. Boulais won 3. M. Martineau has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Boulais has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Martineau the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Martineau won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Martineau's last five matches

J. Boulais's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Martineau beat C. Bouchelaghem (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, J. Boulais beat M. Kaouk (5-7 6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Martineau wins 48 % (65 of 135), J. Boulais 46 % (13 of 28). In deciding sets, M. Martineau wins 41 % of the time (119 matches), J. Boulais 37 % (19 matches). After losing the first set, M. Martineau turned 18 % of matches around (145 occasions), J. Boulais 13 % (47 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Martineau went on to win 74 % of matches, J. Boulais 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Martineau – J. Boulais

Who is the favourite between M. Martineau and J. Boulais?
The match is over: M. Martineau won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Martineau winning at 56 %.
When is the M. Martineau – J. Boulais match?
On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 10:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Martineau and J. Boulais?
No meeting between M. Martineau and J. Boulais appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Martineau – J. Boulais?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 21 September 2026

All matches on 21 September 2026