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M. Martineau vs T. Schoolkate prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. MartineauT. Schoolkate
33.5 %66.5 %
Model favourite
T. Schoolkate
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Martineau

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court16:25
M. Martineau
M. Martineau
vs
T. Schoolkate
T. Schoolkate
1812
Elo
2003
1846
Elo on hard court
1947
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.66
Odds
1.39

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Martineau
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Schoolkate
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
17 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
23-26 (47%)
2026 record
30-24 (56%)
79-77 (51%)
Record on hard court
121-102 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Martineau and T. Schoolkate, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Schoolkate comes in with an Elo of 2003, against 1812 for M. Martineau: a 191-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 101 points in favour of T. Schoolkate. M. Martineau won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Schoolkate won 7. M. Martineau has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Schoolkate has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite.

The model gave T. Schoolkate the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Martineau won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Martineau's last five matches

T. Schoolkate's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Martineau beat C. Bouchelaghem (6-1 6-4), then J. Boulais (6-3 6-1). This is T. Schoolkate's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Martineau wins 48 % (65 of 135), T. Schoolkate 48 % (72 of 149). In deciding sets, M. Martineau wins 41 % of the time (119 matches), T. Schoolkate 59 % (95 matches). After losing the first set, M. Martineau turned 18 % of matches around (145 occasions), T. Schoolkate 26 % (145 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Martineau went on to win 74 % of matches, T. Schoolkate 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Martineau – T. Schoolkate

Who is the favourite between M. Martineau and T. Schoolkate?
The match is over: M. Martineau won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 2.66 for M. Martineau. Pronocast's model had T. Schoolkate winning at 66 %.
When is the M. Martineau – T. Schoolkate match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 16:25, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Martineau and T. Schoolkate?
No meeting between M. Martineau and T. Schoolkate appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Martineau – T. Schoolkate?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026