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M. Poljicak vs H. Rocha prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. PoljicakH. Rocha
25.6 %74.4 %
Model favourite
H. Rocha
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · H. Rocha

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 16hard court14:10
M. Poljicak
M. Poljicak
vs
H. Rocha
H. Rocha
1895
Elo
2029
1747
Elo on hard court
1944
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.50
Odds
1.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Poljicak
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
H. Rocha
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
20-13 (61%)
2026 record
30-23 (57%)
3-9 (25%)
Record on hard court
29-22 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Poljicak and H. Rocha, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Rocha comes in with an Elo of 2029, against 1895 for M. Poljicak: a 134-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 197 points in favour of H. Rocha. M. Poljicak won 5 of the last ten matches, H. Rocha won 6. M. Poljicak has one win in the last five matches. H. Rocha has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Rocha the favourite.

The model gave H. Rocha the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Rocha won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Poljicak's last five matches

H. Rocha's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Poljicak beat M. Basing (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, H. Rocha beat C. Cretu (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Poljicak wins 55 % (18 of 33), H. Rocha 53 % (42 of 79). In deciding sets, M. Poljicak wins 45 % of the time (44 matches), H. Rocha 49 % (63 matches). After losing the first set, M. Poljicak turned 16 % of matches around (55 occasions), H. Rocha 15 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Poljicak went on to win 80 % of matches, H. Rocha 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Poljicak – H. Rocha

Who is the favourite between M. Poljicak and H. Rocha?
The match is over: H. Rocha won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Rocha the favourite, priced at 1.25 against 3.50 for M. Poljicak. Pronocast's model had H. Rocha winning at 74 %.
When is the M. Poljicak – H. Rocha match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 14:10, at the Porto tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Poljicak and H. Rocha?
No meeting between M. Poljicak and H. Rocha appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Poljicak – H. Rocha?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026