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M. Soto vs L. Midon prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. SotoL. Midon
37.4 %62.6 %
Model favourite
L. Midon
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · L. Midon

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 32clay15:10
M. Soto
M. Soto
vs
L. Midon
L. Midon
1840
Elo
1940
1834
Elo on clay
1963
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.47
Odds
1.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Soto
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
L. Midon
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
2 losses
Current streak
2 losses
18-17 (51%)
2026 record
29-21 (58%)
59-59 (50%)
Record on clay
73-60 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Soto and L. Midon, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Midon comes in with an Elo of 1940, against 1840 for M. Soto: a 99-point edge. On clay, the gap is 129 points in favour of L. Midon. M. Soto won 4 of the last ten matches, L. Midon won 6. M. Soto has 2 wins in the last five matches. L. Midon has 2 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to M. Soto. Bookmakers make L. Midon the favourite.

The model gave L. Midon the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Midon won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Soto's last five matches

L. Midon's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Soto's first match of the tournament. This is L. Midon's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Soto wins 50 % (31 of 62), L. Midon 53 % (18 of 34). In deciding sets, M. Soto wins 57 % of the time (40 matches), L. Midon 52 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, M. Soto turned 14 % of matches around (78 occasions), L. Midon 18 % (61 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Soto went on to win 87 % of matches, L. Midon 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Soto – L. Midon

Who is the favourite between M. Soto and L. Midon?
The match is over: L. Midon won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Midon the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.47 for M. Soto. Pronocast's model had L. Midon winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Soto – L. Midon match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Soto and L. Midon?
No meeting between M. Soto and L. Midon appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Soto – L. Midon?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026