E. Malygina vs S. Kraus prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. MalyginaS. Kraus
21.1 %78.9 %
Model favourite
S. Kraus
Probability
79 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · S. Kraus

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerPortoQuarter-finalhard court14:05
E. Malygina
E. Malygina
vs
S. Kraus
S. Kraus
1835
Elo
2111
1893
Elo on hard court
1915
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
6
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.20
Odds
1.19

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Malygina
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
S. Kraus
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
7-4 (64%)
2026 record
35-22 (61%)
5-2 (71%)
Record on hard court
19-25 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Malygina and S. Kraus, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Kraus comes in with an Elo of 2111, against 1835 for E. Malygina: a 276-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 22 points in favour of S. Kraus. E. Malygina won 7 of the last ten matches, S. Kraus won 5. E. Malygina has 4 wins in the last five matches. S. Kraus has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Kraus the favourite.

The model gave S. Kraus the win at 79 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Kraus won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Malygina's last five matches

S. Kraus's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Malygina beat M. Hodzic (6-4 5-7 6-4), then O. Dodin (2-6 6-4 6-2). To reach this round, S. Kraus beat L. Cabrera (6-1 6-4), then M. Jorge (6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Valentova, who beat L. Tararudee in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, E. Malygina wins 46 % of the time (13 matches), S. Kraus 60 % (40 matches). After losing the first set, E. Malygina turned 18 % of matches around (17 occasions), S. Kraus 15 % (73 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Malygina went on to win 75 % of matches, S. Kraus 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Malygina – S. Kraus

Who is the favourite between E. Malygina and S. Kraus?
The match is over: S. Kraus won 2-1. Bookmakers make S. Kraus the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.20 for E. Malygina. Pronocast's model had S. Kraus winning at 79 %.
When is the E. Malygina – S. Kraus match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 14:05, at the Porto tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Malygina and S. Kraus?
No meeting between E. Malygina and S. Kraus appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Malygina – S. Kraus?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026