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M. Tobon vs J. B. Torres prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. TobonJ. B. Torres
36.7 %63.3 %
Model favourite
J. B. Torres
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · J. B. Torres

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 32clay15:15
M. Tobon
M. Tobon
vs
J. B. Torres
J. B. Torres
1761
Elo
1856
1740
Elo on clay
1840
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.38
Odds
1.48

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Tobon
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
J. B. Torres
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
20-18 (53%)
2026 record
25-22 (53%)
21-27 (44%)
Record on clay
139-114 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Tobon and J. B. Torres, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. B. Torres comes in with an Elo of 1856, against 1761 for M. Tobon: a 96-point edge. On clay, the gap is 100 points in favour of J. B. Torres. M. Tobon won 4 of the last ten matches, J. B. Torres won 6. M. Tobon has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. B. Torres has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. B. Torres leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. B. Torres the favourite.

The model gave J. B. Torres the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. B. Torres won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Tobon's last five matches

J. B. Torres's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. B. Torres leads 3 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Tobon's first match of the tournament. This is J. B. Torres's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Tobon wins 50 % (17 of 34), J. B. Torres 56 % (39 of 70). In deciding sets, M. Tobon wins 42 % of the time (26 matches), J. B. Torres 40 % (82 matches). After losing the first set, M. Tobon turned 18 % of matches around (38 occasions), J. B. Torres 14 % (114 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Tobon went on to win 76 % of matches, J. B. Torres 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Tobon – J. B. Torres

Who is the favourite between M. Tobon and J. B. Torres?
The match is over: J. B. Torres won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. B. Torres the favourite, priced at 1.48 against 2.38 for M. Tobon. Pronocast's model had J. B. Torres winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Tobon – J. B. Torres match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 15:15, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Tobon and J. B. Torres?
Since 2020, J. B. Torres leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Tobon – J. B. Torres?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026