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P. Basile vs M. Krumich prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. BasileM. Krumich
42.0 %58.0 %
Model favourite
M. Krumich
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Krumich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBari (Italy) - QualificationRound of 1616:45
P. Basile
P. Basile
vs
M. Krumich
M. Krumich
1854
Elo
1882
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.25
Odds
1.62

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Basile
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Krumich
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
3 wins
Current streak
1 loss
10-8 (56%)
2026 record
39-27 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Basile and M. Krumich, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Krumich comes in with an Elo of 1882, against 1854 for P. Basile: a 28-point edge. P. Basile won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Krumich won 4. P. Basile has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Krumich has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Krumich the favourite.

The model gave M. Krumich the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Krumich won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Basile's last five matches

M. Krumich's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Basile beat K. Wehnelt (5-7 6-4 7-6), then O. Ovcharenko (3-6 7-5 6-1), then M. Wiskandt (6-7 7-6 6-3). This is M. Krumich's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Basile wins 48 % (11 of 23), M. Krumich 49 % (22 of 45). In deciding sets, P. Basile wins 50 % of the time (14 matches), M. Krumich 44 % (61 matches). After losing the first set, P. Basile turned 25 % of matches around (20 occasions), M. Krumich 22 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Basile went on to win 78 % of matches, M. Krumich 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Basile – M. Krumich

Who is the favourite between P. Basile and M. Krumich?
The match is over: M. Krumich won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Krumich the favourite, priced at 1.62 against 2.25 for P. Basile. Pronocast's model had M. Krumich winning at 58 %.
When is the P. Basile – M. Krumich match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 16:45, at the Bari (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between P. Basile and M. Krumich?
No meeting between P. Basile and M. Krumich appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Basile – M. Krumich?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Bari (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026