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P. Lagutin vs M. Alcala Gurri prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. LagutinM. Alcala Gurri
34.9 %65.1 %
Model favourite
M. Alcala Gurri
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Alcala Gurri

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSevilleRound of 16clay18:10
PL
P. Lagutin
vs
M. Alcala Gurri
M. Alcala Gurri
1982
Elo
1996
1981
Elo on clay
2011
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.67
Odds
1.43

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Lagutin
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
M. Alcala Gurri
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 7
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
7-2 (78%)
2026 record
22-10 (69%)
5-1 (83%)
Record on clay
50-38 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Lagutin and M. Alcala Gurri, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Alcala Gurri comes in with an Elo of 1996, against 1982 for P. Lagutin: a 15-point edge. On clay, the gap is 31 points in favour of M. Alcala Gurri. P. Lagutin won 9 of the last ten matches, M. Alcala Gurri won 6. P. Lagutin has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Alcala Gurri has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Alcala Gurri the favourite.

The model gave M. Alcala Gurri the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Alcala Gurri won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Lagutin's last five matches

M. Alcala Gurri's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Lagutin beat M. Gonzalez Fernandez (6-3 6-4), then T. Pereira (6-4 5-7 6-0), then V. Gaubas (6-2 3-6 6-0). To reach this round, M. Alcala Gurri beat G. Campana Lee (6-1 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Buse, who beat G. A. Olivieri in the final (6-3 3-6 6-3).

Frequently asked questions about P. Lagutin – M. Alcala Gurri

Who is the favourite between P. Lagutin and M. Alcala Gurri?
The match is over: M. Alcala Gurri won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Alcala Gurri the favourite, priced at 1.43 against 2.67 for P. Lagutin. Pronocast's model had M. Alcala Gurri winning at 65 %.
When is the P. Lagutin – M. Alcala Gurri match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 18:10, at the Seville tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Lagutin and M. Alcala Gurri?
No meeting between P. Lagutin and M. Alcala Gurri appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Lagutin – M. Alcala Gurri?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seville

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026