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H. Rocha vs D. Lajovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. RochaD. Lajovic
55.1 %44.9 %
Model favourite
H. Rocha
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · D. Lajovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSevilleQuarter-finalclay20:25
H. Rocha
H. Rocha
vs
D. Lajovic
D. Lajovic
2024
Elo
2037
2041
Elo on clay
1964
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Rocha
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
D. Lajovic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
29-22 (57%)
2026 record
27-25 (52%)
71-74 (49%)
Record on clay
99-73 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Rocha and D. Lajovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2024 against 2037): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On clay, the gap is 76 points in favour of H. Rocha. H. Rocha won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Lajovic won 6. H. Rocha has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Lajovic has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Rocha leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave H. Rocha the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Lajovic won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Rocha's last five matches

D. Lajovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Rocha leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Rocha beat C. Taberner (6-3 7-6), then S. Rodriguez Taverna (6-4 6-1). To reach this round, D. Lajovic beat M. Landaluce (6-0 6-4), then C. Hemery (6-4 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Buse, who beat G. A. Olivieri in the final (6-3 3-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Rocha wins 53 % (42 of 79), D. Lajovic 50 % (52 of 104). In deciding sets, H. Rocha wins 49 % of the time (63 matches), D. Lajovic 49 % (90 matches). After losing the first set, H. Rocha turned 15 % of matches around (94 occasions), D. Lajovic 12 % (128 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Rocha went on to win 81 % of matches, D. Lajovic 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Rocha – D. Lajovic

Who is the favourite between H. Rocha and D. Lajovic?
The match is over: D. Lajovic won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had H. Rocha winning at 55 %.
When is the H. Rocha – D. Lajovic match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 20:25, at the Seville tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between H. Rocha and D. Lajovic?
Since 2020, H. Rocha leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Rocha – D. Lajovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seville

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026