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M. Alcala Gurri vs G. A. Olivieri prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. Alcala GurriG. A. Olivieri
62.3 %37.7 %
Model favourite
M. Alcala Gurri
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Alcala Gurri

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSevilleQuarter-finalclay20:20
M. Alcala Gurri
M. Alcala Gurri
vs
G. A. Olivieri
G. A. Olivieri
1996
Elo
1863
2011
Elo on clay
1829
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Alcala Gurri
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
G. A. Olivieri
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
23-10 (70%)
2026 record
19-23 (45%)
51-38 (57%)
Record on clay
135-126 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Alcala Gurri and G. A. Olivieri, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Alcala Gurri comes in with an Elo of 1996, against 1863 for G. A. Olivieri: a 133-point edge. On clay, the gap is 183 points in favour of M. Alcala Gurri. M. Alcala Gurri won 6 of the last ten matches, G. A. Olivieri won 5. M. Alcala Gurri has 2 wins in the last five matches. G. A. Olivieri has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Alcala Gurri the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Alcala Gurri won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Alcala Gurri's last five matches

G. A. Olivieri's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Alcala Gurri beat G. Campana Lee (6-1 7-5), then P. Lagutin (6-7 6-2 7-6). To reach this round, G. A. Olivieri beat D. Blanch (6-3 3-6 6-1), then T. Pereira (6-1 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Buse, who beat G. A. Olivieri in the final (6-3 3-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Alcala Gurri wins 55 % (12 of 22), G. A. Olivieri 52 % (41 of 79). In deciding sets, M. Alcala Gurri wins 37 % of the time (27 matches), G. A. Olivieri 56 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, M. Alcala Gurri turned 11 % of matches around (37 occasions), G. A. Olivieri 21 % (156 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Alcala Gurri went on to win 84 % of matches, G. A. Olivieri 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Alcala Gurri – G. A. Olivieri

Who is the favourite between M. Alcala Gurri and G. A. Olivieri?
The match is over: M. Alcala Gurri won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Alcala Gurri winning at 62 %.
When is the M. Alcala Gurri – G. A. Olivieri match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 20:20, at the Seville tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Alcala Gurri and G. A. Olivieri?
No meeting between M. Alcala Gurri and G. A. Olivieri appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Alcala Gurri – G. A. Olivieri?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seville

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026