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M. Alcala Gurri vs D. Lajovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. Alcala GurriD. Lajovic
32.5 %67.5 %
Model favourite
D. Lajovic
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
0-1 · D. Lajovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSevilleSemi-finalclay22:20
M. Alcala Gurri
M. Alcala Gurri
vs
D. Lajovic
D. Lajovic
2018
Elo
2062
2032
Elo on clay
2004
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.83
Odds
1.39

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Alcala Gurri
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. Lajovic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
24-10 (71%)
2026 record
28-25 (53%)
52-38 (58%)
Record on clay
100-73 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Alcala Gurri and D. Lajovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Lajovic comes in with an Elo of 2062, against 2018 for M. Alcala Gurri: a 44-point edge. On clay, the gap is 28 points in favour of M. Alcala Gurri. M. Alcala Gurri won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Lajovic won 6. M. Alcala Gurri has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Lajovic has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Lajovic the favourite.

The model gave D. Lajovic the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Lajovic won 1-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Alcala Gurri's last five matches

D. Lajovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Alcala Gurri beat G. Campana Lee (6-1 7-5), then P. Lagutin (6-7 6-2 7-6), then G. A. Olivieri (6-1 5-7 6-3). To reach this round, D. Lajovic beat M. Landaluce (6-0 6-4), then C. Hemery (6-4 6-2), then H. Rocha (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Buse, who beat G. A. Olivieri in the final (6-3 3-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Alcala Gurri wins 55 % (12 of 22), D. Lajovic 50 % (52 of 104). In deciding sets, M. Alcala Gurri wins 39 % of the time (28 matches), D. Lajovic 49 % (90 matches). After losing the first set, M. Alcala Gurri turned 11 % of matches around (37 occasions), D. Lajovic 12 % (128 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Alcala Gurri went on to win 84 % of matches, D. Lajovic 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Alcala Gurri – D. Lajovic

Who is the favourite between M. Alcala Gurri and D. Lajovic?
The match is over: D. Lajovic won 1-0. Bookmakers make D. Lajovic the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 2.83 for M. Alcala Gurri. Pronocast's model had D. Lajovic winning at 67 %.
When is the M. Alcala Gurri – D. Lajovic match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 22:20, at the Seville tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Alcala Gurri and D. Lajovic?
No meeting between M. Alcala Gurri and D. Lajovic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Alcala Gurri – D. Lajovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seville

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026