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F. Diaz Acosta vs S. Ofner prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. Diaz AcostaS. Ofner
64.1 %35.9 %
Model favourite
F. Diaz Acosta
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · F. Diaz Acosta

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSevilleQuarter-finalclay18:10
F. Diaz Acosta
F. Diaz Acosta
vs
S. Ofner
S. Ofner
2147
Elo
2039
2163
Elo on clay
2041
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
2 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.45
Odds
2.54

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Diaz Acosta
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
S. Ofner
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
3 – 7
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
46-16 (74%)
2026 record
29-22 (57%)
155-78 (67%)
Record on clay
97-61 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Diaz Acosta and S. Ofner, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Diaz Acosta comes in with an Elo of 2147, against 2039 for S. Ofner: a 108-point edge. On clay, the gap is 122 points in favour of F. Diaz Acosta. F. Diaz Acosta won 7 of the last ten matches, S. Ofner won 2. F. Diaz Acosta has 4 wins in the last five matches. S. Ofner has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, S. Ofner leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Diaz Acosta the favourite.

The model gave F. Diaz Acosta the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Diaz Acosta won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Diaz Acosta's last five matches

S. Ofner's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Ofner leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Diaz Acosta beat P. Martin Tiffon (6-3 2-6 6-2), then A. Moro Canas (6-1 7-5). To reach this round, S. Ofner beat F. Gill (6-4 6-2), then A. Ritschard (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Buse, who beat G. A. Olivieri in the final (6-3 3-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Diaz Acosta wins 54 % (55 of 102), S. Ofner 54 % (75 of 138). In deciding sets, F. Diaz Acosta wins 54 % of the time (101 matches), S. Ofner 55 % (112 matches). After losing the first set, F. Diaz Acosta turned 29 % of matches around (107 occasions), S. Ofner 31 % (141 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Diaz Acosta went on to win 82 % of matches, S. Ofner 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Diaz Acosta – S. Ofner

Who is the favourite between F. Diaz Acosta and S. Ofner?
The match is over: F. Diaz Acosta won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Diaz Acosta the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.54 for S. Ofner. Pronocast's model had F. Diaz Acosta winning at 64 %.
When is the F. Diaz Acosta – S. Ofner match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 18:10, at the Seville tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Diaz Acosta and S. Ofner?
Since 2020, S. Ofner leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Diaz Acosta – S. Ofner?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seville

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026