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P. Sakamoto vs S. De La Fuente prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. SakamotoS. De La Fuente
56.6 %43.4 %
Model favourite
P. Sakamoto
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · P. Sakamoto

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaQualifyingclay17:00
P. Sakamoto
P. Sakamoto
vs
S. De La Fuente
S. De La Fuente
1728
Elo
1630
1658
Elo on clay
1634
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
9
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Sakamoto
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
S. De La Fuente
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
9 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
9-13 (41%)
2026 record
10-12 (45%)
68-71 (49%)
Record on clay
26-33 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Sakamoto and S. De La Fuente, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Sakamoto comes in with an Elo of 1728, against 1630 for S. De La Fuente: a 99-point edge. On clay, the gap is 24 points in favour of P. Sakamoto. P. Sakamoto won 7 of the last ten matches, S. De La Fuente won 6. P. Sakamoto has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. De La Fuente has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave P. Sakamoto the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Sakamoto won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Sakamoto's last five matches

S. De La Fuente's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Sakamoto beat V. Goncalves (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, S. De La Fuente beat B. Arias (7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Sakamoto wins 63 % (27 of 43), S. De La Fuente 33 % (5 of 15). In deciding sets, P. Sakamoto wins 47 % of the time (53 matches), S. De La Fuente 50 % (18 matches). After losing the first set, P. Sakamoto turned 19 % of matches around (74 occasions), S. De La Fuente 13 % (30 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Sakamoto went on to win 78 % of matches, S. De La Fuente 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Sakamoto – S. De La Fuente

Who is the favourite between P. Sakamoto and S. De La Fuente?
The match is over: P. Sakamoto won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had P. Sakamoto winning at 57 %.
When is the P. Sakamoto – S. De La Fuente match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 17:00, at the Curitiba tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Sakamoto and S. De La Fuente?
No meeting between P. Sakamoto and S. De La Fuente appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Sakamoto – S. De La Fuente?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026