Q. Zheng vs A. Kalinskaya prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

Q. ZhengA. Kalinskaya

63.5 %36.5 %

Model favourite: Q. Zheng
Probability: 64 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 1-1 · Q. Zheng

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court10:10

Q. Zheng

A. Kalinskaya

2298
Elo: 2329; 2280
Elo on hard court: 2221; 8 / 10
Form (last 10): 7 / 10; 2
Recent matches: 0; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.55
Odds: 2.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Q. Zheng

A. Kalinskaya

8 – 2
Wins – losses: 7 – 3; 17 – 9
Sets won – lost: 14 – 10; 1 win
Current streak: 1 loss; 19-15 (56%)
2026 record: 27-16 (63%); 108-49 (69%)
Record on hard court: 116-62 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Q. Zheng and A. Kalinskaya, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Kalinskaya comes in with an Elo of 2329, against 2298 for Q. Zheng: a 31-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 59 points in favour of Q. Zheng. Q. Zheng won 8 of the last ten matches, A. Kalinskaya won 7. Q. Zheng has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Kalinskaya has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make Q. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave Q. Zheng the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Q. Zheng won 1-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Q. Zheng's last five matches

VH. ShiBeijing 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 October 20267-6 4-6 6-2
DJ. PaoliniWTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group 2026 · 24 September 20263-6 6-7
DE. RybakinaUS Open 2026 · Quarter-final · 9 September 20266-3 1-6 4-6
VI. SwiatekUS Open 2026 · Round of 16 · 7 September 20267-5 6-3
VM. KeysUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 September 20261-6 7-6 7-5

A. Kalinskaya's last five matches

DE. NavarroUS Open 2026 · Round of 16 · 7 September 20264-6 2-6
VE. SvitolinaUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 September 20266-3 2-6 6-3
VXin. WangUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 September 20267-5 2-6 6-3
VA. BlinkovaUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20266-4 6-3
VC. McNallyCincinnati 2026 · Round of 64 · 15 August 20266-3 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

VA. KalinskayaWTA Australian Open 2024 · Quarter-final · 24 January 20246-7 6-3 6-1
DA. KalinskayaGuadalajara 2 2022 · Round of 32 · 21 February 20223-6 6-2 2-6

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Q. Zheng beat H. Shi (7-6 4-6 6-2). This is A. Kalinskaya's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Q. Zheng wins 55 % (35 of 64), A. Kalinskaya 64 % (45 of 70). In deciding sets, Q. Zheng wins 68 % of the time (95 matches), A. Kalinskaya 55 % (92 matches). After losing the first set, Q. Zheng turned 32 % of matches around (92 occasions), A. Kalinskaya 23 % (88 occasions). After winning the first set, Q. Zheng went on to win 89 % of matches, A. Kalinskaya 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Q. Zheng – A. Kalinskaya

Who is the favourite between Q. Zheng and A. Kalinskaya?: The match is over: Q. Zheng won 1-1. Bookmakers make Q. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.50 for A. Kalinskaya. Pronocast's model had Q. Zheng winning at 64 %.
When is the Q. Zheng – A. Kalinskaya match?: On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 10:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Q. Zheng and A. Kalinskaya?: Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for Q. Zheng – A. Kalinskaya?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions