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M. Cassone vs D. Masur prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. CassoneD. Masur
64.4 %35.6 %
Model favourite
M. Cassone
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Cassone

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQuarter-finalhard court11:05
M. Cassone
M. Cassone
vs
D. Masur
D. Masur
1979
Elo
1869
1948
Elo on hard court
1845
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
5
Recent matches
9
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Cassone
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. Masur
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
8 – 2
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
16 – 10
5 wins
Current streak
4 wins
20-17 (54%)
2026 record
23-15 (61%)
77-55 (58%)
Record on hard court
80-70 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Cassone and D. Masur, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Cassone comes in with an Elo of 1979, against 1869 for D. Masur: a 109-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 103 points in favour of M. Cassone. M. Cassone won 8 of the last ten matches, D. Masur won 8. M. Cassone has 5 wins in the last five matches. D. Masur has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Cassone the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Cassone won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Cassone's last five matches

D. Masur's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Cassone beat H. Car (6-4 6-0), then P. Zahraj (6-2 7-5), then C. Tabur (7-6 4-6 6-3), then B. Harris (7-6 6-4). To reach this round, D. Masur beat L. Rossi (6-2 3-6 6-4), then M. Janvier (6-2 7-6), then M. Echargui (6-1 4-6 6-4), then M. Martineau (6-3 5-7 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Cassone wins 57 % (40 of 70), D. Masur 49 % (57 of 117). In deciding sets, M. Cassone wins 49 % of the time (57 matches), D. Masur 53 % (90 matches). After losing the first set, M. Cassone turned 17 % of matches around (69 occasions), D. Masur 21 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Cassone went on to win 88 % of matches, D. Masur 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Cassone – D. Masur

Who is the favourite between M. Cassone and D. Masur?
The match is over: M. Cassone won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Cassone winning at 64 %.
When is the M. Cassone – D. Masur match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 11:05, at the St. Tropez tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Cassone and D. Masur?
No meeting between M. Cassone and D. Masur appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Cassone – D. Masur?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026