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T. Droguet vs K. Poling prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. DroguetK. Poling
92.1 %7.9 %
Model favourite
T. Droguet
Probability
92 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court13:10
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
vs
K. Poling
K. Poling
2172
Elo
1712
2080
Elo on hard court
1700
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
8
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.02
Odds
9.10

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Droguet
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
K. Poling
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
8 – 2
Wins – losses
3 – 7
18 – 8
Sets won – lost
10 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
44-20 (69%)
2026 record
14-17 (45%)
81-55 (60%)
Record on hard court
26-29 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Droguet and K. Poling, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Droguet comes in with an Elo of 2172, against 1712 for K. Poling: a 460-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 380 points in favour of T. Droguet. T. Droguet won 8 of the last ten matches, K. Poling won 6. T. Droguet has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Poling has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite.

The model gave T. Droguet the win at 92 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

K. Poling's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Droguet's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Droguet wins 56 % (63 of 112), K. Poling 30 % (9 of 30). In deciding sets, T. Droguet wins 60 % of the time (104 matches), K. Poling 58 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, T. Droguet turned 29 % of matches around (114 occasions), K. Poling 24 % (41 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Droguet went on to win 86 % of matches, K. Poling 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Droguet – K. Poling

Who is the favourite between T. Droguet and K. Poling?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite, priced at 1.02 against 9.10 for K. Poling. Pronocast's model had T. Droguet winning at 92 %.
When is the T. Droguet – K. Poling match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 13:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Droguet and K. Poling?
No meeting between T. Droguet and K. Poling appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Droguet – K. Poling?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026