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T. Faurel vs M. Lajal prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. FaurelM. Lajal
17.8 %82.2 %
Model favourite
M. Lajal
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Lajal

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 16hard court14:25
T. Faurel
T. Faurel
vs
M. Lajal
M. Lajal
1785
Elo
2082
1807
Elo on hard court
2029
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Faurel
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Lajal
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
8 – 2
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
16 – 6
1 win
Current streak
1 win
16-20 (44%)
2026 record
37-21 (64%)
4-5 (44%)
Record on hard court
127-81 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Faurel and M. Lajal, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Lajal comes in with an Elo of 2082, against 1785 for T. Faurel: a 298-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 222 points in favour of M. Lajal. T. Faurel won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Lajal won 8. T. Faurel has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Lajal has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Lajal the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Lajal won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Faurel's last five matches

M. Lajal's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Faurel beat H. Grenier (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, M. Lajal beat D. Goffin (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Faurel wins 25 % (5 of 20), M. Lajal 55 % (60 of 109). In deciding sets, T. Faurel wins 29 % of the time (21 matches), M. Lajal 51 % (99 matches). After losing the first set, T. Faurel turned 9 % of matches around (32 occasions), M. Lajal 28 % (105 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Faurel went on to win 76 % of matches, M. Lajal 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Faurel – M. Lajal

Who is the favourite between T. Faurel and M. Lajal?
The match is over: M. Lajal won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Lajal winning at 82 %.
When is the T. Faurel – M. Lajal match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 14:25, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Faurel and M. Lajal?
No meeting between T. Faurel and M. Lajal appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Faurel – M. Lajal?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026