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T. Maria vs T. Townsend prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. MariaT. Townsend
26.9 %73.1 %
Model favourite
T. Townsend
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · T. Townsend

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraRound of 32hard court23:05
T. Maria
T. Maria
vs
T. Townsend
T. Townsend
2177
Elo
2278
1874
Elo on hard court
2215
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.14
Odds
1.35

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Maria
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
T. Townsend
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
27-26 (51%)
2026 record
21-13 (62%)
61-90 (40%)
Record on hard court
70-48 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Maria and T. Townsend, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Townsend comes in with an Elo of 2278, against 2177 for T. Maria: a 101-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 341 points in favour of T. Townsend. T. Maria won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Townsend won 6. T. Maria has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Townsend has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Townsend leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Townsend the favourite.

The model gave T. Townsend the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Townsend won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Maria's last five matches

T. Townsend's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Townsend leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is T. Maria's first match of the tournament. This is T. Townsend's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Maria wins 47 % (29 of 62), T. Townsend 59 % (26 of 44). In deciding sets, T. Maria wins 42 % of the time (76 matches), T. Townsend 53 % (58 matches). After losing the first set, T. Maria turned 12 % of matches around (124 occasions), T. Townsend 27 % (77 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Maria went on to win 78 % of matches, T. Townsend 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Maria – T. Townsend

Who is the favourite between T. Maria and T. Townsend?
The match is over: T. Townsend won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Townsend the favourite, priced at 1.35 against 3.14 for T. Maria. Pronocast's model had T. Townsend winning at 73 %.
When is the T. Maria – T. Townsend match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 23:05, at the Guadalajara tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Maria and T. Townsend?
Since 2020, T. Townsend leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Maria – T. Townsend?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026