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U. Blanchet vs D. Rincon prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
U. BlanchetD. Rincon
54.5 %45.5 %
Model favourite
U. Blanchet
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · U. Blanchet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerCassisRound of 16hard court16:00
U. Blanchet
U. Blanchet
vs
D. Rincon
D. Rincon
1886
Elo
1951
1931
Elo on hard court
1885
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
1
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.77
Odds
1.95

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

U. Blanchet
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
D. Rincon
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 15
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
14-21 (40%)
2026 record
19-18 (51%)
53-53 (50%)
Record on hard court
28-31 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by U. Blanchet and D. Rincon, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Rincon comes in with an Elo of 1951, against 1886 for U. Blanchet: a 65-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 46 points in favour of U. Blanchet. U. Blanchet won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Rincon won 5. U. Blanchet has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Rincon has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, U. Blanchet leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make U. Blanchet the favourite.

The model gave U. Blanchet the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. U. Blanchet won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

U. Blanchet's last five matches

D. Rincon's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

U. Blanchet leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, U. Blanchet beat L. Lokoli (6-3 6-3). To reach this round, D. Rincon beat M. Dhamne (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Harris, who beat D. Glinka in the final (3-6 7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, U. Blanchet wins 58 % (51 of 88), D. Rincon 49 % (37 of 76). In deciding sets, U. Blanchet wins 49 % of the time (69 matches), D. Rincon 60 % (80 matches). After losing the first set, U. Blanchet turned 14 % of matches around (102 occasions), D. Rincon 21 % (121 occasions). After winning the first set, U. Blanchet went on to win 81 % of matches, D. Rincon 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about U. Blanchet – D. Rincon

Who is the favourite between U. Blanchet and D. Rincon?
The match is over: U. Blanchet won 2-1. Bookmakers make U. Blanchet the favourite, priced at 1.77 against 1.95 for D. Rincon. Pronocast's model had U. Blanchet winning at 54 %.
When is the U. Blanchet – D. Rincon match?
On Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 16:00, at the Cassis tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between U. Blanchet and D. Rincon?
Since 2020, U. Blanchet leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for U. Blanchet – D. Rincon?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Cassis

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 September 2026

All matches on 9 September 2026