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W. Falkowska vs L. Samson prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
W. FalkowskaL. Samson
24.5 %75.5 %
Model favourite
L. Samson
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · L. Samson

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaRound of 16clay12:15
W. Falkowska
W. Falkowska
vs
L. Samson
L. Samson
1850
Elo
2039
1795
Elo on clay
2098
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.56
Odds
1.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

W. Falkowska
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
L. Samson
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
7-4 (64%)
2026 record
12-11 (52%)
4-9 (31%)
Record on clay
38-27 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by W. Falkowska and L. Samson, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Samson comes in with an Elo of 2039, against 1850 for W. Falkowska: a 188-point edge. On clay, the gap is 303 points in favour of L. Samson. W. Falkowska won 5 of the last ten matches, L. Samson won 6. W. Falkowska has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Samson has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Samson the favourite.

The model gave L. Samson the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Samson won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

W. Falkowska's last five matches

L. Samson's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, W. Falkowska beat K. Novak (2-6 7-6 6-2). To reach this round, L. Samson beat L. Ciric Bagaric (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, W. Falkowska wins 50 % (5 of 10), L. Samson 54 % (31 of 57). In deciding sets, W. Falkowska wins 45 % of the time (11 matches), L. Samson 54 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, W. Falkowska turned 17 % of matches around (18 occasions), L. Samson 23 % (64 occasions). After winning the first set, W. Falkowska went on to win 83 % of matches, L. Samson 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about W. Falkowska – L. Samson

Who is the favourite between W. Falkowska and L. Samson?
The match is over: L. Samson won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Samson the favourite, priced at 1.25 against 3.56 for W. Falkowska. Pronocast's model had L. Samson winning at 75 %.
When is the W. Falkowska – L. Samson match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 12:15, at the Ljubljana tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between W. Falkowska and L. Samson?
No meeting between W. Falkowska and L. Samson appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for W. Falkowska – L. Samson?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026