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X. Gao vs I. Swiatek prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
X. GaoI. Swiatek
6.4 %93.6 %
Model favourite
I. Swiatek
Probability
94 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · I. Swiatek

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court08:20
X. Gao
X. Gao
vs
I. Swiatek
I. Swiatek
1948
Elo
2514
1923
Elo on hard court
2411
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

X. Gao
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
I. Swiatek
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
8 – 2
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
17 – 6
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
5-9 (36%)
2026 record
35-13 (73%)
18-18 (50%)
Record on hard court
182-47 (79%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by X. Gao and I. Swiatek, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Swiatek comes in with an Elo of 2514, against 1948 for X. Gao: a 566-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 488 points in favour of I. Swiatek. X. Gao won 6 of the last ten matches, I. Swiatek won 8. X. Gao has 3 wins in the last five matches. I. Swiatek has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave I. Swiatek the win at 94 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Swiatek won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

X. Gao's last five matches

I. Swiatek's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, X. Gao beat P. Udvardy (6-2 6-3). This is I. Swiatek's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, X. Gao wins 62 % (8 of 13), I. Swiatek 60 % (35 of 58). In deciding sets, X. Gao wins 48 % of the time (27 matches), I. Swiatek 63 % (83 matches). After losing the first set, X. Gao turned 16 % of matches around (31 occasions), I. Swiatek 36 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, X. Gao went on to win 79 % of matches, I. Swiatek 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about X. Gao – I. Swiatek

Who is the favourite between X. Gao and I. Swiatek?
The match is over: I. Swiatek won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had I. Swiatek winning at 94 %.
When is the X. Gao – I. Swiatek match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 08:20, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between X. Gao and I. Swiatek?
No meeting between X. Gao and I. Swiatek appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for X. Gao – I. Swiatek?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026