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X. You vs A. Charaeva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
X. YouA. Charaeva
33.4 %66.6 %
Model favourite
A. Charaeva
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · A. Charaeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASao PauloRound of 32hard court19:05
X. You
X. You
vs
A. Charaeva
A. Charaeva
1877
Elo
2088
1902
Elo on hard court
1879
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.86
Odds
1.40

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

X. You
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
A. Charaeva
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 16
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
2 wins
Current streak
2 losses
6-12 (33%)
2026 record
30-21 (59%)
20-28 (42%)
Record on hard court
16-18 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by X. You and A. Charaeva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Charaeva comes in with an Elo of 2088, against 1877 for X. You: a 211-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 23 points in favour of X. You. X. You won 2 of the last ten matches, A. Charaeva won 5. X. You has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Charaeva has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Charaeva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Charaeva the favourite.

The model gave A. Charaeva the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Charaeva won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

X. You's last five matches

A. Charaeva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Charaeva leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, X. You beat L. Fullana (6-2 6-1), then V. Bosio (6-3 7-5). This is A. Charaeva's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah, who beat J. Tjen in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, X. You wins 62 % (8 of 13), A. Charaeva 44 % (11 of 25). In deciding sets, X. You wins 5 % of the time (19 matches), A. Charaeva 55 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, X. You turned 0 % of matches around (39 occasions), A. Charaeva 24 % (45 occasions). After winning the first set, X. You went on to win 72 % of matches, A. Charaeva 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about X. You – A. Charaeva

Who is the favourite between X. You and A. Charaeva?
The match is over: A. Charaeva won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Charaeva the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 2.86 for X. You. Pronocast's model had A. Charaeva winning at 67 %.
When is the X. You – A. Charaeva match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 19:05, at the Sao Paulo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between X. You and A. Charaeva?
Since 2020, A. Charaeva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for X. You – A. Charaeva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Sao Paulo

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026