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A. Bolt vs A. Santillan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BoltA. Santillan
67.1 %32.9 %
Model favourite
A. Bolt
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Bolt

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouQualifyinghard court06:05
A. Bolt
A. Bolt
vs
A. Santillan
A. Santillan
1910
Elo
1788
1864
Elo on hard court
1776
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Bolt
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
A. Santillan
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 15
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
18-20 (47%)
2026 record
13-17 (43%)
79-80 (50%)
Record on hard court
45-52 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Bolt and A. Santillan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Bolt comes in with an Elo of 1910, against 1788 for A. Santillan: a 122-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 88 points in favour of A. Bolt. A. Bolt won 3 of the last ten matches, A. Santillan won 4. A. Bolt has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Santillan has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Bolt the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Bolt won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Bolt's last five matches

A. Santillan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Bolt beat O. Jasika (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, A. Santillan beat K. Kang (6-3 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Bolt wins 56 % (60 of 107), A. Santillan 49 % (19 of 39). In deciding sets, A. Bolt wins 47 % of the time (68 matches), A. Santillan 53 % (57 matches). After losing the first set, A. Bolt turned 17 % of matches around (107 occasions), A. Santillan 19 % (75 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Bolt went on to win 84 % of matches, A. Santillan 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Bolt – A. Santillan

Who is the favourite between A. Bolt and A. Santillan?
The match is over: A. Bolt won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Bolt winning at 67 %.
When is the A. Bolt – A. Santillan match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 06:05, at the Hangzhou tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Bolt and A. Santillan?
No meeting between A. Bolt and A. Santillan appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Bolt – A. Santillan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026