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A. Fils vs L. van Assche prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. FilsL. van Assche
85.5 %14.5 %
Model favourite
A. Fils
Probability
86 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Fils

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court09:10
A. Fils
A. Fils
vs
L. van Assche
L. van Assche
2451
Elo
2184
2305
Elo on hard court
2092
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.16
Odds
5.86

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Fils
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
L. van Assche
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
17 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
33-10 (77%)
2026 record
42-20 (68%)
92-58 (61%)
Record on hard court
92-81 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Fils and L. van Assche, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Fils comes in with an Elo of 2451, against 2184 for L. van Assche: a 267-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 213 points in favour of A. Fils. A. Fils won 8 of the last ten matches, L. van Assche won 7. A. Fils has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. van Assche has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Fils leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Fils the favourite.

The model gave A. Fils the win at 86 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Fils won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Fils's last five matches

L. van Assche's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Fils leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Fils beat M. Damm (2-6 6-1 6-1), then K. Majchrzak (6-2 3-6 6-1). This is L. van Assche's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Fils wins 58 % (69 of 118), L. van Assche 50 % (60 of 119). In deciding sets, A. Fils wins 63 % of the time (87 matches), L. van Assche 60 % (129 matches). After losing the first set, A. Fils turned 29 % of matches around (113 occasions), L. van Assche 29 % (174 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Fils went on to win 87 % of matches, L. van Assche 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Fils – L. van Assche

Who is the favourite between A. Fils and L. van Assche?
The match is over: A. Fils won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Fils the favourite, priced at 1.16 against 5.86 for L. van Assche. Pronocast's model had A. Fils winning at 86 %.
When is the A. Fils – L. van Assche match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 09:10, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Fils and L. van Assche?
Since 2020, A. Fils leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Fils – L. van Assche?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026