A. Muller vs L. Pavlovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MullerL. Pavlovic
56.4 %43.6 %
Model favourite
A. Muller
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Muller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduQualifyinghard court07:10Time to be confirmed
A. Muller
A. Muller
vs
L. Pavlovic
L. Pavlovic
1953
Elo
1918
1876
Elo on hard court
1914
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Muller
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
L. Pavlovic
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
13-21 (38%)
2026 record
24-22 (52%)
80-81 (50%)
Record on hard court
14-11 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Muller and L. Pavlovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Muller comes in with an Elo of 1953, against 1918 for L. Pavlovic: a 35-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 38 points in favour of L. Pavlovic. A. Muller won 4 of the last ten matches, L. Pavlovic won 6. A. Muller has 2 wins in the last five matches. L. Pavlovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Muller the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Muller won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Muller's last five matches

L. Pavlovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Muller's first match of the tournament. This is L. Pavlovic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Muller wins 50 % (73 of 147), L. Pavlovic 57 % (33 of 58). In deciding sets, A. Muller wins 60 % of the time (110 matches), L. Pavlovic 58 % (38 matches). After losing the first set, A. Muller turned 23 % of matches around (181 occasions), L. Pavlovic 20 % (51 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Muller went on to win 84 % of matches, L. Pavlovic 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Muller – L. Pavlovic

Who is the favourite between A. Muller and L. Pavlovic?
The match is over: A. Muller won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Muller winning at 56 %.
When is the A. Muller – L. Pavlovic match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026, at the Chengdu tournament (Qualifying, hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between A. Muller and L. Pavlovic?
No meeting between A. Muller and L. Pavlovic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Muller – L. Pavlovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026