A. Shevchenko vs H. Hurkacz prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ShevchenkoH. Hurkacz
17.9 %82.1 %
Model favourite
H. Hurkacz
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · H. Hurkacz

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 32hard court13:05
vs
H. Hurkacz
H. Hurkacz
1994
Elo
2275
1909
Elo on hard court
2099
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
5.15
Odds
1.14

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Shevchenko
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
H. Hurkacz
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
7 – 3
12 – 16
Sets won – lost
18 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
25-29 (46%)
2026 record
25-18 (58%)
76-78 (49%)
Record on hard court
120-75 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Shevchenko and H. Hurkacz, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Hurkacz comes in with an Elo of 2275, against 1994 for A. Shevchenko: a 281-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 189 points in favour of H. Hurkacz. A. Shevchenko won 3 of the last ten matches, H. Hurkacz won 7. A. Shevchenko has one win in the last five matches. H. Hurkacz has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Hurkacz leads 4 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite.

The model gave H. Hurkacz the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Hurkacz won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Shevchenko's last five matches

H. Hurkacz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Hurkacz leads 4 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is A. Shevchenko's first match of the tournament. This is H. Hurkacz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Shevchenko wins 54 % (71 of 131), H. Hurkacz 53 % (123 of 231). In deciding sets, A. Shevchenko wins 48 % of the time (111 matches), H. Hurkacz 55 % (128 matches). After losing the first set, A. Shevchenko turned 16 % of matches around (157 occasions), H. Hurkacz 31 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Shevchenko went on to win 83 % of matches, H. Hurkacz 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Shevchenko – H. Hurkacz

Who is the favourite between A. Shevchenko and H. Hurkacz?
The match is over: H. Hurkacz won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 5.15 for A. Shevchenko. Pronocast's model had H. Hurkacz winning at 82 %.
When is the A. Shevchenko – H. Hurkacz match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 13:05, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Shevchenko and H. Hurkacz?
Since 2020, H. Hurkacz leads 4 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Shevchenko – H. Hurkacz?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026