A. Shevchenko vs H. Hurkacz prediction
The prediction, computed before the match
Correct prediction- Model favourite
- H. Hurkacz
- Probability
- 82 %
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Exact score
- Actual score
- 0-2 · H. Hurkacz
Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.
- 1994
- Elo
- 2275
- 1909
- Elo on hard court
- 2099
- 3 / 10
- Form (last 10)
- 7 / 10
- 2
- Recent matches
- 0
- –
- Head-to-head
- Edge
- 5.15
- Odds
- 1.14
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- 3 – 7
- Wins – losses
- 7 – 3
- 12 – 16
- Sets won – lost
- 18 – 10
- 1 loss
- Current streak
- 1 loss
- 25-29 (46%)
- 2026 record
- 25-18 (58%)
- 76-78 (49%)
- Record on hard court
- 120-75 (62%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Shevchenko and H. Hurkacz, before this match.
What the numbers said before the match
H. Hurkacz comes in with an Elo of 2275, against 1994 for A. Shevchenko: a 281-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 189 points in favour of H. Hurkacz. A. Shevchenko won 3 of the last ten matches, H. Hurkacz won 7. A. Shevchenko has one win in the last five matches. H. Hurkacz has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Hurkacz leads 4 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite.
The model gave H. Hurkacz the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Hurkacz won 2-0: prediction correct.
Recent matches
A. Shevchenko's last five matches
- DK. SamrejATP Davis Cup - World Group II 2026 · 19 September 20266-1 2-6 3-6
- VM. JonesATP Davis Cup - World Group II 2026 · 18 September 20266-4 1-6 7-5
- DD. PrizmicUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 August 20266-2 3-6 3-6 7-5 5-7
- DB. Van De ZandschulpCincinnati 2026 · Round of 128 · 14 August 20264-6 4-6
- DC. O'ConnellCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 13 August 20264-6 1-6
H. Hurkacz's last five matches
- DB. SheltonUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 September 20263-6 7-5 6-7 5-7
- VD. DzumhurUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20266-4 4-6 6-1 6-1
- VS. BaezCancun 2 2026 · Final · 24 August 20264-6 6-0 6-3
- VM. EcharguiCancun 2 2026 · Semi-final · 23 August 20266-3 6-4
- VR. SafiullinCancun 2 2026 · Quarter-final · 21 August 20266-4 6-3
Head-to-head since 2020
H. Hurkacz leads 4 to 0- DH. HurkaczUnited Cup 2025 · 4 January 20253-6 2-6
- DH. HurkaczATP Miami 2024 · Round of 64 · 23 March 20244-6 7-6 3-6
- DH. HurkaczATP Marseille 2024 · Round of 16 · 8 February 20241-6 4-6
- DH. HurkaczATP Dubai 2023 · Round of 32 · 28 February 20236-3 3-6 6-7
Road through the tournament
This is A. Shevchenko's first match of the tournament. This is H. Hurkacz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, A. Shevchenko wins 54 % (71 of 131), H. Hurkacz 53 % (123 of 231). In deciding sets, A. Shevchenko wins 48 % of the time (111 matches), H. Hurkacz 55 % (128 matches). After losing the first set, A. Shevchenko turned 16 % of matches around (157 occasions), H. Hurkacz 31 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Shevchenko went on to win 83 % of matches, H. Hurkacz 83 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about A. Shevchenko – H. Hurkacz
- Who is the favourite between A. Shevchenko and H. Hurkacz?
- The match is over: H. Hurkacz won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 5.15 for A. Shevchenko. Pronocast's model had H. Hurkacz winning at 82 %.
- When is the A. Shevchenko – H. Hurkacz match?
- On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 13:05, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between A. Shevchenko and H. Hurkacz?
- Since 2020, H. Hurkacz leads 4 to 0 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for A. Shevchenko – H. Hurkacz?
- The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Chengdu
Tournament page

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