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A. Weber vs H. Matsuoka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. WeberH. Matsuoka
40.3 %59.7 %
Model favourite
H. Matsuoka
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · H. Matsuoka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouQualifyinghard court07:50Time to be confirmed
A. Weber
A. Weber
vs
H. Matsuoka
H. Matsuoka
1795
Elo
1861
1780
Elo on hard court
1844
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
7
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Weber
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
H. Matsuoka
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
10 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
10-11 (48%)
2026 record
30-24 (56%)
29-34 (46%)
Record on hard court
43-36 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Weber and H. Matsuoka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Matsuoka comes in with an Elo of 1861, against 1795 for A. Weber: a 66-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 64 points in favour of H. Matsuoka. A. Weber won 8 of the last ten matches, H. Matsuoka won 6. A. Weber has 3 wins in the last five matches. H. Matsuoka has 2 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to H. Matsuoka. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave H. Matsuoka the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Matsuoka won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Weber's last five matches

H. Matsuoka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Weber's first match of the tournament. This is H. Matsuoka's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Weber wins 48 % (11 of 23), H. Matsuoka 44 % (12 of 27). In deciding sets, A. Weber wins 56 % of the time (16 matches), H. Matsuoka 41 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, A. Weber turned 12 % of matches around (42 occasions), H. Matsuoka 27 % (37 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Weber went on to win 90 % of matches, H. Matsuoka 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Weber – H. Matsuoka

Who is the favourite between A. Weber and H. Matsuoka?
The match is over: H. Matsuoka won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had H. Matsuoka winning at 60 %.
When is the A. Weber – H. Matsuoka match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026, at the Hangzhou tournament (Qualifying, hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between A. Weber and H. Matsuoka?
No meeting between A. Weber and H. Matsuoka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Weber – H. Matsuoka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026