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A. Zverev vs L. Darderi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ZverevL. Darderi
93.0 %7.0 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
93 %
Predicted score
3-0
Exact score
Actual score
3-0 · A. Zverev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

ATPUS OpenRound of 16hard court02:45
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
L. Darderi
L. Darderi
2495
Elo
2215
2328
Elo on hard court
1995
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.08
Odds
7.93

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Darderi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
22 – 12
Sets won – lost
16 – 13
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
49-13 (79%)
2026 record
33-20 (62%)
158-61 (72%)
Record on hard court
31-40 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and L. Darderi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2495, against 2215 for L. Darderi: a 280-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 333 points in favour of A. Zverev. A. Zverev won 7 of the last ten matches, L. Darderi won 6. A. Zverev has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Darderi has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 93 %, with a likely score of 3-0. A. Zverev won 3-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

L. Darderi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Zverev beat L. Sonego (6-4 3-6 6-7 7-5 6-4), then Q. Halys (6-4 4-6 7-6 6-7 6-3), then A. Tabilo (6-2 7-6 6-2). To reach this round, L. Darderi beat H. Wendelken (6-2 3-6 6-2 7-5), then D. Svrcina (6-3 6-7 6-4 6-4), then D. Sweeny (6-4 6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat J. Sinner in the final (6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 61 % (128 of 209), L. Darderi 53 % (63 of 118). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 64 % of the time (116 matches), L. Darderi 62 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), L. Darderi 23 % (149 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, L. Darderi 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – L. Darderi

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and L. Darderi?
The match is over: A. Zverev won 3-0. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.08 against 7.93 for L. Darderi. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 93 %.
When is the A. Zverev – L. Darderi match?
On Tuesday, 8 September 2026 at 02:45, at the US Open tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and L. Darderi?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – L. Darderi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: US Open

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 September 2026

All matches on 8 September 2026