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A. Zverev vs N. Djokovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. ZverevN. Djokovic
67.4 %32.6 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · N. Djokovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingQuarter-finalhard court13:10
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
N. Djokovic
N. Djokovic
2521
Elo
2449
2368
Elo on hard court
2344
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.36
Odds
2.75

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
N. Djokovic
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
7 – 3
23 – 3
Sets won – lost
22 – 14
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
58-14 (81%)
2026 record
15-7 (68%)
165-62 (73%)
Record on hard court
115-22 (84%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and N. Djokovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2521, against 2449 for N. Djokovic: a 73-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 24 points in favour of A. Zverev. A. Zverev won 9 of the last ten matches, N. Djokovic won 7. A. Zverev has 4 wins in the last five matches. N. Djokovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, N. Djokovic leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Djokovic won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

N. Djokovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

N. Djokovic leads 3 to 2

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Zverev beat C. Norrie (7-6 6-4), then J. Shang (6-0 6-3). To reach this round, N. Djokovic beat N. Borges (6-3 7-6), then Y. Bu (4-6 7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 62 % (135 of 217), N. Djokovic 68 % (84 of 123). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 63 % of the time (117 matches), N. Djokovic 63 % (57 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), N. Djokovic 51 % (70 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, N. Djokovic 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – N. Djokovic

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and N. Djokovic?
The match is over: N. Djokovic won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 2.75 for N. Djokovic. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 67 %.
When is the A. Zverev – N. Djokovic match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Beijing tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and N. Djokovic?
Since 2020, N. Djokovic leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – N. Djokovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026