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D. Medvedev vs F. Cerundolo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. MedvedevF. Cerundolo
70.1 %29.9 %
Model favourite
D. Medvedev
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · D. Medvedev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingQuarter-finalhard court10:40
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
vs
F. Cerundolo
F. Cerundolo
2341
Elo
2288
2303
Elo on hard court
2158
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
6
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.31
Odds
2.75

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Medvedev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
F. Cerundolo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
7 – 3
21 – 4
Sets won – lost
19 – 12
6 wins
Current streak
2 wins
40-16 (71%)
2026 record
34-17 (67%)
192-67 (74%)
Record on hard court
62-59 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and F. Cerundolo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Medvedev comes in with an Elo of 2341, against 2288 for F. Cerundolo: a 53-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 144 points in favour of D. Medvedev. D. Medvedev won 9 of the last ten matches, F. Cerundolo won 7. D. Medvedev has 5 wins in the last five matches. F. Cerundolo has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Cerundolo leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite.

The model gave D. Medvedev the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Medvedev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

F. Cerundolo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Cerundolo leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Medvedev beat P. Carreno-Busta (6-4 6-2), then J-L. Struff (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, F. Cerundolo beat B. Van De Zandschulp (5-7 6-4 6-3), then J. Mensik (6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (81 of 154), F. Cerundolo 53 % (71 of 133). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 59 % of the time (104 matches), F. Cerundolo 55 % (119 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 34 % of matches around (119 occasions), F. Cerundolo 28 % (150 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, F. Cerundolo 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – F. Cerundolo

Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and F. Cerundolo?
The match is over: D. Medvedev won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite, priced at 1.31 against 2.75 for F. Cerundolo. Pronocast's model had D. Medvedev winning at 70 %.
When is the D. Medvedev – F. Cerundolo match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 10:40, at the Beijing tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and F. Cerundolo?
Since 2020, F. Cerundolo leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – F. Cerundolo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026