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H. Hurkacz vs K. Khachanov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. HurkaczK. Khachanov
39.8 %60.2 %
Model favourite
K. Khachanov
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · H. Hurkacz

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingQuarter-finalhard court07:15
H. Hurkacz
H. Hurkacz
vs
K. Khachanov
K. Khachanov
2319
Elo
2237
2181
Elo on hard court
2125
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
7
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.32
Odds
1.62

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Hurkacz
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
K. Khachanov
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
18 – 11
Sets won – lost
17 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
31-19 (62%)
2026 record
22-19 (54%)
126-76 (62%)
Record on hard court
114-80 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Hurkacz and K. Khachanov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Hurkacz comes in with an Elo of 2319, against 2237 for K. Khachanov: a 81-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 56 points in favour of H. Hurkacz. H. Hurkacz won 8 of the last ten matches, K. Khachanov won 6. H. Hurkacz has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Khachanov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Khachanov the favourite.

The model gave K. Khachanov the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Hurkacz won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Hurkacz's last five matches

K. Khachanov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Hurkacz beat L. Tien (5-7 6-3 6-4), then A. Gea (7-6 6-7 6-2). To reach this round, K. Khachanov beat F. Auger-Aliassime (6-3 6-3), then A. Molcan (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Hurkacz wins 53 % (126 of 237), K. Khachanov 51 % (75 of 147). In deciding sets, H. Hurkacz wins 56 % of the time (132 matches), K. Khachanov 52 % (110 matches). After losing the first set, H. Hurkacz turned 32 % of matches around (114 occasions), K. Khachanov 31 % (124 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Hurkacz went on to win 83 % of matches, K. Khachanov 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Hurkacz – K. Khachanov

Who is the favourite between H. Hurkacz and K. Khachanov?
The match is over: H. Hurkacz won 2-0. Bookmakers make K. Khachanov the favourite, priced at 1.62 against 2.32 for H. Hurkacz. Pronocast's model had K. Khachanov winning at 60 %.
When is the H. Hurkacz – K. Khachanov match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 07:15, at the Beijing tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Hurkacz and K. Khachanov?
No meeting between H. Hurkacz and K. Khachanov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Hurkacz – K. Khachanov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026