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B. Tomic vs F. Sun prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
B. TomicF. Sun
66.7 %33.3 %
Model favourite
B. Tomic
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · F. Sun

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouQualifyinghard court08:25
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
vs
F. Sun
F. Sun
1978
Elo
1836
1944
Elo on hard court
1837
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
6
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Tomic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
F. Sun
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
13 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
28-21 (57%)
2026 record
26-24 (52%)
96-77 (55%)
Record on hard court
63-66 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Tomic and F. Sun, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Tomic comes in with an Elo of 1978, against 1836 for F. Sun: a 142-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 108 points in favour of B. Tomic. B. Tomic won 6 of the last ten matches, F. Sun won 6. B. Tomic has 4 wins in the last five matches. F. Sun has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave B. Tomic the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Sun won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

F. Sun's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Tomic beat R. Te (6-7 6-4 7-5). To reach this round, F. Sun beat M. Dellavedova (3-6 6-1 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Tomic wins 55 % (54 of 99), F. Sun 39 % (17 of 44). In deciding sets, B. Tomic wins 59 % of the time (95 matches), F. Sun 46 % (50 matches). After losing the first set, B. Tomic turned 27 % of matches around (114 occasions), F. Sun 21 % (72 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Tomic went on to win 83 % of matches, F. Sun 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Tomic – F. Sun

Who is the favourite between B. Tomic and F. Sun?
The match is over: F. Sun won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had B. Tomic winning at 67 %.
When is the B. Tomic – F. Sun match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 08:25, at the Hangzhou tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Tomic and F. Sun?
No meeting between B. Tomic and F. Sun appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Tomic – F. Sun?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026