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B. Tomic vs I. Ivashka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
B. TomicI. Ivashka
54.3 %45.7 %
Model favourite
B. Tomic
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · I. Ivashka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerShanghaiRound of 16hard court09:05
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
vs
I. Ivashka
I. Ivashka
1983
Elo
1923
1943
Elo on hard court
1895
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Tomic
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
I. Ivashka
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
24-19 (56%)
2026 record
24-11 (69%)
92-75 (55%)
Record on hard court
60-51 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Tomic and I. Ivashka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Tomic comes in with an Elo of 1983, against 1923 for I. Ivashka: a 61-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 48 points in favour of B. Tomic. B. Tomic won 7 of the last ten matches, I. Ivashka won 6. B. Tomic has 3 wins in the last five matches. I. Ivashka has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave B. Tomic the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Ivashka won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

I. Ivashka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Tomic beat A. Santillan (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, I. Ivashka beat Y. H. Hsu (6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by G. Zeppieri, who beat Y. Uchiyama in the final (7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Tomic wins 56 % (54 of 96), I. Ivashka 43 % (29 of 67). In deciding sets, B. Tomic wins 59 % of the time (93 matches), I. Ivashka 53 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, B. Tomic turned 27 % of matches around (111 occasions), I. Ivashka 22 % (87 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Tomic went on to win 82 % of matches, I. Ivashka 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Tomic – I. Ivashka

Who is the favourite between B. Tomic and I. Ivashka?
The match is over: I. Ivashka won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had B. Tomic winning at 54 %.
When is the B. Tomic – I. Ivashka match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 09:05, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Tomic and I. Ivashka?
No meeting between B. Tomic and I. Ivashka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Tomic – I. Ivashka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026