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C. Sinclair vs R. Noguchi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
C. SinclairR. Noguchi
19.5 %80.5 %
Model favourite
R. Noguchi
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · R. Noguchi

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 16hard court11:05
C. Sinclair
C. Sinclair
vs
R. Noguchi
R. Noguchi
1656
Elo
1891
1643
Elo on hard court
1876
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
6
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
4.28
Odds
1.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. Sinclair
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
R. Noguchi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
9-6 (60%)
2026 record
29-20 (59%)
46-47 (49%)
Record on hard court
112-96 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Sinclair and R. Noguchi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Noguchi comes in with an Elo of 1891, against 1656 for C. Sinclair: a 235-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 233 points in favour of R. Noguchi. C. Sinclair won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Noguchi won 5. C. Sinclair has 3 wins in the last five matches. R. Noguchi has 2 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to R. Noguchi. Bookmakers make R. Noguchi the favourite.

The model gave R. Noguchi the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Noguchi won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

C. Sinclair's last five matches

R. Noguchi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, C. Sinclair beat L. Xiao (6-4 1-6 7-6). To reach this round, R. Noguchi beat K. Uchida (3-6 6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, C. Sinclair wins 45 % (24 of 53), R. Noguchi 47 % (33 of 70). In deciding sets, C. Sinclair wins 57 % of the time (46 matches), R. Noguchi 60 % (73 matches). After losing the first set, C. Sinclair turned 24 % of matches around (54 occasions), R. Noguchi 23 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, C. Sinclair went on to win 78 % of matches, R. Noguchi 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about C. Sinclair – R. Noguchi

Who is the favourite between C. Sinclair and R. Noguchi?
The match is over: R. Noguchi won 2-0. Bookmakers make R. Noguchi the favourite, priced at 1.18 against 4.28 for C. Sinclair. Pronocast's model had R. Noguchi winning at 81 %.
When is the C. Sinclair – R. Noguchi match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 11:05, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between C. Sinclair and R. Noguchi?
No meeting between C. Sinclair and R. Noguchi appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for C. Sinclair – R. Noguchi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026